3 Financial Data Warren Buffett Looks Into Before Buying Into Companies

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By veron.j

Don’t we all wish that we had a time machine, so we can go back to our past selves and tell him or her which stocks to buy for stock market investing? Anyone who’s seen the “Back to the Future” movies has probably fantasized about this at one time or another. But unfortunately, that technology has yet to be realized, and instead we must rely on what we have in the present to guide us in stock market investing.

There is one way we can look into the future – and it’s not magic! It’s something we can all have access to – a company’s past records. Financial data from the previous years can help us determine a company’s future. Common sense and history will tell us that if a company has been in great shape for a very long time, it most likely wil continue to grow in the future – that makes it a great value investment.

How much financial data does one need – apparently, as much as you can find. If a company, like McDonalds, has 69 years of records, then you better start reading up! Of course, there’s no need to look at every single year – in such a case, a ten-year summary would be enough.

Current data, stock prices and yes, even earnings, are not necessarily important when determining whether a stock is a good buy for long-term stock market investing.

Many industries have a poor record when it comes to long-term viability. Consumer electronics is one of them – in a world where your computer is obsolete the moment you purchase is, the same can me said of its stocks. Companies like Apple, HP, Samsung etc., are all about change – what’s new, what’s hot – and their billions in profits today may not be the same a decade from now.

Just looking at Apple’s past performance – shows a record of change and it seems the upturn only happened when Steve Jobs came into the picture. Are you willing to hedge your investment on the work of one man? Probably not.

Of course, it’s also important to look into the past with some discernment; not all past records can give you a look into the future. For example, media and publishing has been forever changed by the Internet, so perhaps investing in Newspapers, magazines, radio and TV is not the best idea – these industries are being affected by major changes, and may be volatile for the next couple of years.

Many people think investing maven Warren Buffet had some sort of crystal ball that looked into the future, and that he used future earnings to predict if a company was a good investment. Far from it – Buffet used data from the past, to help him get to know a company and used it to make his decisions. He relied on three things:

1. Cash flow data – how much money did a company have left over after paying its expenses? This meant that it had more resources to pour into delveloping new products, hiring more talented people and maintaining their business.

2. Return on invested capital – its gives you a view of how a company manages its resources to generate more income (and return)

3. Growth – was the business growing, on all levels, or was it deteriorating?

Warren Buffet didn’t have an exact formula – he had to look at the past financial data and made some adjustments, but, as a smart investor, he knew that these 3 things were important.

Buffet doesn’t give much importance on future earnings – for him, it’s only an insight into what the company’s management is thinking or the direction they’re taking the company to.

As written in the book, The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Investors and Managers, Buffet said in a letter to shareholders, “What counts for most people in investing is not how much they know, but rather how realistically they define what they don't know. An investor needs to do very few things right as long as he or she avoids big mistake.”

And perhaps there’s something we can all learn from his technique – that to see the future, one must look into the past – after all, he is the third richest man in the world with a successful value investing strategy.

Comments

Totally Tiffany profile image

Totally Tiffany 15 months ago

Very well written article. Lots of great info.

veron.j profile image

veron.j Hub Author 15 months ago

Thanks for your kind words Tiffany!

james moylan 14 months ago

I have a web site where I research stocks under five dollars. I have many years of experience with these type of stocks. I find that the best measurement of how undervalued a stock is is the price to sales ratio of a companies stock. the price to sales ratio is the market cap of a companies stock compared to the amount of sales the company does on an annual bases.a good example of a company with a low price to sales ratio is carrols restaurant group the company has a market cap of just 160 million dollars but does over 800 million dollars in annual sales the company is solidly profitable. in other words the price that the market is valuing the company at is 160 million dollars this is only one fifth of what the company does in annual sales 800+ million dollars. the stock currently trades at around 7.25 cents a share under the symbol {TAST} I think the stock could get to 55.00 dollars a share over the next five years. I base this on the current net profit margin of around 1.75% or 14 million dollars on sales of 800 hundred million dollars. if the companies sales were to increase by 50% or 400 million dollars to 1.2 billion dollars over the next five years. and if the companies net profit margin were to expand from 1.75% to 5% or 60 million dollars over the next five years. than if the companies stock increased in price to where it was trading at a price earnings ratio of 20 this would put the stock at 55 dollars a share. this may seem to be a somewhat optimistic scenario but not really that much. there are many stocks that trade at much higher price earnings ratios when they become popular than 20 times earnings. I find that companies like carrols restaurant group are very rare. I also find that companies that have low price to sales ratios that are profitable or of decent quality tend to become takeover targets or get taken private by private equity firms or the management of the company. or other companies in the same business.

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